Hallo Udo ,
auch ich lasse mal wieder etwas von mir hören/lesen.
Bezüglich "Bulkowski"
(nur 1 l ) schreibst Du :
QUOTE
Falls heute oder morgen ein Ausbruch erfolgt (was ich eher nicht
glaube) und
Bullkowski liefert am Freitag das Signal,können wir
das Projcet begraben-oder einen Zeitreise machen...
UNQUOTE
Bulkowski schreibt :
QUOTE:
That all sounds simple enough, but there is a problem. How long
does it take price to breakout from an NR7? It could take one day to
many months if the height of the NR7 is unusually tall and if price
flat lines like a dead animal (testing revealed one NR7 had not
broken out for 11 months). Thus, I place a time limit for the
breakout to occur -- 7 days, or the NR7 gets thrown out. Suffice it
to say
that you can receive a buy signal today from the
program which says, "You should have bought [up to] a week ago."
If you are an end-of-day trader, the signal comes too late to be
useful. Worse yet, prior buy signals can change to sell (and vice
versa) for up to a week. Nothing I have tried cures that problem
without degrading the signal quality in the process. However, the CPI
does signal a shift in the bullish or bearish market winds. Compare
the signals to the turning points of the S&P 500 index (graphed
as a bar chart).
I believe the indicator adds value, despite the lag,
but I do not use it for trading signals.
Whipsaw Removal
To be safe, wait a week before depending on a signal . If you do
that, much of the whipsaw that you see on the chart disappears. In
other words, if you receive two signals within a week, throw out
both. (The first gets thrown out since it is wrong, and the second
gets tossed because it agrees with the signal prior to the pair
appearing). Using this method, I show
red
dots above the signals that remain. The chart becomes much more
accurate and useful.
The Recent Buy Signal
I received an indicator signal change after the close on October
30. The message said I should have bought two days before, on October
28. The next day (October 31), I received a revised buy signal which
said I should have bought 4 days before, on October 27. The
green
vertical bar appears on the October 27 date since it is the first
bullish signal of the pair.
UNQUOTE
Ich finde, daß dies deutlich und
ehrlich geschrieben ist. Ich habe wesentlcihe Passagen
rot und fett gemacht
Natürlich bin ich auch auf Deine
weitere Analysen gespannt.
Gruß,
hajo